2025 PGA Sanderson Farms Championship Picks, Odds, Predictions: Akshay Bhatia with value as tournament favorite

After a multi-week break since the last FedExCup Fall event, the PGA TOUR resumes following the Ryder Cup and that means the Dimers Golf Predictions are firing for the next stop on the autumn circuit, the Sanderson Farms Championship.

The Country Club of Jackson, hosting for the 12th straight year, will measuring 7,461 yards as a par 72. The course is known for its generous landing areas, minimal hazards, and receptive Bermuda greens that reward aggressive play. With 56 bunkers scattered throughout and water only in play on five holes, the layout is forgiving off the tee, setting the stage for a low-scoring shootout in Jackson.

Kevin Yu returns as the defending champion, leading a 132-player field looking to take advantage of one of the most scoreable setups on the PGA Tour.

The Country Club of Jackson has proven to be one of the Tour’s easier stops, ranking 8th easiest overall and yielding an average winning score of 19-under over the past five editions. In fact, 2024 marked its most vulnerable year yet, playing at a remarkable 2.58 strokes under par per round. That means fans should expect plenty of birdies and red numbers throughout the week, particularly on the four par 5s, where the golfers who fit this course can set up eagle chances.

MORE: Use Dimers' Head-to-Head Matchup Simulator

Success here typically boils down to three areas: strokes gained on approach, putting proficiency, and capitalizing on birdie opportunities. Long hitters have a distinct advantage thanks to the wide fairways and length of the par 5s, but hot putters who can roll it well on these smooth surfaces often separate themselves down the stretch. With its combination of scorable conditions and a hungry fall field, the Sanderson Farms Championship sets up another thrilling week of birdie-filled action in Mississippi.

Hopefully you've tailed along this season or at least utilized our Dimers Pro PGA Predictions model which turned out winners this year - most recently cashing  +1400 Tommy Fleetwood winner at the TOUR Championship and hitting a Ben Griffin ladder and Scottie Scheffler win at the Procore Championship.

Who Will Win the 2025 Procore Championship?

Below are the five most likely winners of the 2025 Procore Championship at Silverado Resort, the first stop of the FedExCup Fall schedule.

These predictions are the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:

Akshay Bhatia 7.4% — On a hot streak with multiple top-30s since June and a recent highlight performance. Has the form and upside to turn steady play into a win if the putter cooperates.

J.T. Poston 3.9% — Steady and reliable with strong finishes at the Wyndham and FedEx St. Jude. Consistent form makes him a solid Top-20 or Top-10 play with the potential to contend.

Matt Wallace 3.6% — A boom-or-bust type who flashed upside with a T3 at the 3M Open. Dangerous when his ball-striking is sharp and capable of pushing into contention.

Davis Thompson 3.2% — Young scorer showing steady improvement with a mix of solid finishes, including earlier top showings at THE PLAYERS and Wyndham. Looks poised to contend for a Top-20 with room for more.

Nicolai Højgaard 3.2% — Explosive talent with elite distance and scoring ability, though week-to-week consistency is still a work in progress. Has the ceiling to spike a top finish when everything clicks.

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

Dimers' Procore Championship Best Bets

We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds. The field is loaded but is also missing plenty of overseas talent, making for a competitive card.

We'll also highlight any standout prop and placement bets for these golfers if we find any appealing value hidden in the Dimers golf predictions.

Akshay Bhatia (+2200 on BetRivers)

Bhatia has been one of the most consistent young players this year with four Top 10s and 10 Top 25s, including six Top 30 finishes since June.

He’s currently on a strong run of T6, T26, T13, and T11 from the end of the season into FedExCup Fall.

While he lacks distance off the tee, he ranks 10th in approach, 30th in putting, and 10th in Birdie or Better percentage, making him a strong fit for this course.

With a 7.4% win probability, his fair odds are closer to +1500, offering solid value at +2000, and he makes for good ladder play this week as well:

• To Win: 7.4% at +2200 (fair at +1500)
• Top 5: 21.8% at +400 (fair at +360)
• Top 10: 33.6% at +225 (fair at +200)
• Top 20: 50.4% at +125 (fair at +100)

J.T. Poston (+3500 on BetRivers)

Poston is one of just four OWGR Top 50 players in the field and owns three TOUR wins, all at 21-under or better, including last fall in Las Vegas.

He’s on a current streak of T11, T22, and T30 finishes and has a mixed history at Jackson, with two missed cuts but also a solo third and T11.

Strong in driving accuracy (23rd) but weaker with the putter, he still profiles as the model’s second-most likely winner at 3.9%, with fair odds of +2460.

Matt Wallace (+4500 on BetRivers)

Wallace has been steady of late with a T3 at the 3M Open and three additional Top 25s in his last 10 starts, though he hasn't golfed since the Wyndham Championship in August.

He ranks 1st overall on TOUR in strokes gained around the green and is stronger than most here in driving distance (68th).

While his birdie average lags, he excels on both Par 4s and Par 5s, which suits this course.

At a 3.6% win probability, his fair odds are +2700, making +4500 an appealing price.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+7500 on FanDuel)

Bezuidenhout posted a T39 in his only previous appearance at Jackson in 2023 and enters with solid form, including a T20 and T13 in his last four starts.

He hasn’t played since the Wyndham in August but brings elite short-game credentials, ranking 11th in putting and 24th around the greens.

With added scoring pop (40th in eagles), he sits inside the model’s Top 10 with a 2.4% win chance and fair odds of +4065, making +7500 a very strong value.

Matt Kuchar (+8000 on FanDuel)

The veteran Kuchar has just one Top 10 in 14 events this year but found some late-season form, finishing T5 at the John Deere and T13 at the Procore Championship to open up FedExCup Fall.

He’s one of the TOUR’s best putters (20th), ranks 5th in scrambling and Par 4 scoring, and remains steady with accuracy (44th).

Distance is a clear weakness as he ranks near the bottom of the field which will hurt his chances to shorten some of these holes, especially on Par 5s, but his all-around consistency gives him the upside you want on an 80/1 longshot.

With a fair price closer to +4900, his current odds of +8000 make him an intriguing edge play.

Andrew Putnam (+12500 on FanDuel)

Putnam is the definition of volatility, with four missed cuts and a withdrawal in his last eight starts, but also finishes of T6, T8, and T11 - pretty much the best and worst you can be for a golfer of his ability.

He offsets below-average distance with elite accuracy (6th on TOUR) and ranks 34th in approach, 14th in putting, and 13th in scoring average.

His strengths on Par 4s where he ranks 10th in scoring, are a great fit for Jackson, giving him big value at +12500 compared to a fair number closer to +4450, making him the biggest value play of the tournament based solely on discrepancy in the odds.

Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers Pros also have access to the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

• PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including every major.
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