Dream vs. Lynx prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [5/9/2026]

The Minnesota Lynx will square off with the favored Atlanta Dream in WNBA action at Target Center on Saturday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Dream vs. Lynx game.

The Lynx, powered by Courtney Williams, Kayla McBride and Natasha Howard, are set to take on the Dream, who feature Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Dream vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's WNBA game between the Dream and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dream a 79% chance of defeating the Lynx.

According to our model, the Dream (-5.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 160.5 points has a 60% chance of going over.

Dream vs. Lynx odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Dream	Lynx
Spread	-5.5 (-110)	+5.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-218	+194
Total	o160.5 (-110)	u160.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dream vs. Lynx picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Dream -5.5	-110
Moneyline	Dream	-218
Total	Over 160.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dream to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Dream vs. Lynx player props

WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Saturday's Atlanta vs. Minnesota matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Allisha Gray is expected to lead the Dream with 16 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Courtney Williams is projected to have 15 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Lynx.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Dream prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Dream are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	16	5	3	2	31
Rhyne Howard	16	4	4	3	33
Angel Reese	14	14	3	0	41
Naz Hillmon	10	8	3	1	26
Jordin Canada	10	3	5	1	26

Lynx prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
C. Williams	15	5	7	1	36
Kayla McBride	14	2	3	2	26
Natasha Howard	14	8	2	0	33
Olivia Miles	12	4	4	1	28
Nia Coffey	9	6	2	1	24

Dream vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between the Lynx and Dream at Target Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx
• Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Lynx in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.