Jun 5, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, June 5, 2026
Read Article Sun vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Friday's WNBA game [6/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Chicago Sky will square off with the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Wintrust Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Sky as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Sky game.
The Sky, who have stars such as Skylar Diggins-Smith, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Sun, who feature Brittney Griner, Aneesah Morrow and Leila Lacan.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sun vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Sun and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Sky a 74.8% chance of beating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sky (-6.5) have a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 52.8% chance of staying under.
Sun vs. Sky odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-108) | -6.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +215 | -250 |
| Total | o164.5 (-110) | u164.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Sky picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky -6.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Sky | -250 |
| Total | Under 164.5 | -110 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Sky to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sun vs. Sky player props
WNBA player props are a great way to wager on Friday's Connecticut vs. Chicago matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.
Brittney Griner is expected to lead the Sun with 14 points, 6 rebounds and 1 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 16 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Sky.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kamilla Cardoso striking first with a 14.1% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sun prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 33 |
| Leila Lacan | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Saniya Rivers | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Diamond Miller | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
Sky prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diggins-Smith | 16 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 34 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Natasha Cloud | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
| Sydney Taylor | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| Azura Stevens | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
Sun vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Sky and Sun at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky
- Date: Friday, June 5, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Wintrust Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 74.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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