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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [4/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Toronto Blue Jays will square off with the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Wednesday, commencing at 3:07 PM ET.
Eric Lauer (1-3, 6.75 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays, while the Red Sox have opted for Brayan Bello (1-3, 9.00 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Blue Jays as the most likely winner of the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 56% chance of defeating the Red Sox.
According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds [4/29/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Sox | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+159) |
| Moneyline | +113 | -130 |
| Total | o8.5 (+100) | u8.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Blue Jays -1.5 | +159 |
| Moneyline | Blue Jays | -130 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | +100 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Rogers Centre is scheduled to commence at 3:07 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Wednesday, April 29, 2026
- Time: 3:07 PM ET/12:07PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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