Cruz Azul vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/21/2026]
Get Cruz Azul vs Puebla predictions for Liga MX Tuesday.
Cruz Azul will square off with Puebla in Liga MX action at Estadio La Corregidora on Tuesday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Cruz Azul vs. Puebla game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?
Our leading predictive model suggests a 72.3% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 10.8% chance for Puebla, and a 17.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 60.4% chance of going over, with a 50.9% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Cruz Azul | Puebla | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -286 | +700 | +410 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -167 | +130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Puebla @ +700 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -167 via Bet365
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CAZ 2-0 PUE | 12% |
| CAZ 1-0 PUE | 10.3% |
| CAZ 3-0 PUE | 9.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.1% chance of both Cruz Azul and Puebla finding the net and a 50.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Cruz Azul vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between Cruz Azul and Puebla at Estadio La Corregidora is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Cruz Azul vs. Puebla
- Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio La Corregidora
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 72.3% win probability on Tuesday, Puebla has a 10.8% win probability, and there is a 17.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
