May 19, 2026
Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/21/2026]
Read Article Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 34.2% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 38.8% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 27.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pumas UNAM | Cruz Azul | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +220 | +125 | +235 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -125 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | +220 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -125 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUM 1-1 CAZ | 12.8% |
| PUM 0-1 CAZ | 10.7% |
| PUM 1-0 CAZ | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 49.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 34.2% win probability on Sunday, Cruz Azul has a 38.8% win probability, and there is a 27.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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