Paraguay vs. France prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 16]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Paraguay and France, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 6.2% chance of Paraguay winning, a 78.7% chance for France, and a 15.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53.2% chance of going over, with a 65.4% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, France holds a 55.4% probability to win without conceding, with Paraguay given a 3.8% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is France to win or draw at 93.8%.

Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.

France vs. Paraguay odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Paraguay	France	Draw
+1800	-500	+600

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-160	+136

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Paraguay vs. France picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Paraguay @ +1800 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +136 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Paraguay @ +1600 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Paraguay or Draw @ +410 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -186 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Paraguay vs. France: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 France win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Paraguay 0-2 France	16.3%
Paraguay 0-1 France	14.1%
Paraguay 0-3 France	12.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 34.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 65.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Paraguay vs. France player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Saturday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Paraguay-France:

Paraguay

• Julio Enciso: 9.6% probability
• Miguel Almiron: 8.6% probability
• Matias Galarza: 6.2% probability
• Diego Gomez: 6.1% probability
• Gustavo Gomez: 3.4% probability

France

• Kylian Mbappe: 50.7% probability
• Ousmane Dembele: 29.3% probability
• Michael Olise: 26.6% probability
• Bradley Barcola: 23.7% probability
• Adrien Rabiot: 13.0% probability

Paraguay vs. France game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's FIFA World Cup matchup between Paraguay and France at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: Paraguay vs. France
• Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Paraguay has a 6.2% win probability on Saturday, France has a 78.7% win probability, and there is a 15.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.