Jul 4, 2026
World Cup bets today: Four round of 16 picks for Saturday ft. Morocco vs. Canada [7/4/2026]
Read Article World Cup player props today: Independence Day round of 16 props include Andres Cubas [7/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get World Cup player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' World Cup props are live for Independence Day, with today's round of 16 prop bets led by the likes of Andres Cubas, Liam Millar and Diego Gomez.
Our World Cup player props model runs continuously, analyzing every international soccer matchup, including Morocco vs. Canada and France vs. Paraguay, to surface the best World Cup player prop bets across the market.
List of World Cup prop picks for Saturday, 7/4 [Round of 16]
Sourced from 45+ World Cup props on site today, the picks below highlight where the numbers are off. With the expanded 48-team format creating more variance on the pitch, these calculations isolate specific player outcomes—like shots and shots on target—to find true value.
Andres Cubas over 0.5 shots (+380)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 26.4%
- Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Paraguay's Andres Cubas over 0.5 shots. A probability of 26.4% gives this play an edge of 5.6% at +380 odds.
Liam Millar over 2.5 shots (+950)
- Edge: 1.6%
- Probability: 11.1%
- Game: Canada vs. Morocco (1:00PM ET)
Liam Millar’s shots prop shows an 11.1% probability and an 1.6% edge at +950 odds, according to our model.
Diego Gomez over 2.5 shots (+1200)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 10.1%
- Game: Paraguay vs. Morocco (5:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Diego Gomez over 2.5 shots, with simulations showing a 10.1% probability and a 2.4% edge at +1200.
Matias Galarza over 2.5 shots (+1400)
- Edge: 1.6%
- Probability: 8.3%
- Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Matias Galarza over 2.5 shots, with a 8.3% probability and an edge of 1.6% at +1400 odds.
Juan Jose Caceres over 1.5 shots (+1800)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 8.2%
- Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Juan Jose Caceres over 1.5 shots for Paraguay, showing an edge of 3.0% at +1800 odds.
Miguel Almiron over 3.5 shots (+1500)
- Edge: 1.7%
- Probability: 7.9%
- Game: Paraguay vs. Morocco (5:00PM ET)
Miguel Almiron’s shots prop shows an edge of 1.7% at +1500 odds, supported by a 7.9% probability according to our model.
Gustavo Gomez over 1.5 shots (+1400)
- Edge: 1.0%
- Probability: 7.7%
- Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Gustavo Gomez over 1.5 shots for Paraguay, with a 7.7% probability and a 1.0% edge at +1400 odds.
Dayot Upamecano anytime goal scorer (+1300)
- Edge: 0.3%
- Probability: 7.4%
- Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Dayot Upamecano anytime goal scorer, supported by a 7.4% probability at +1300 odds and an edge of 0.3%.
William Saliba anytime goal scorer (+2000)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 7.1%
- Game: Paraguay vs. France (5:00PM ET)
A 2.3% edge on the anytime goal line makes William Saliba a value play in , supported by a 7.1% probability at +2000 odds.
Lucas Digne anytime goal scorer (+1600)
- Edge: 0.8%
- Probability: 6.7%
- Game: Paraguay vs. Morocco (5:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Lucas Digne anytime goal scorer here, with a 6.7% probability and 0.8% edge at +1600 odds.
World Cup player prop summary: Saturday, July 4, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:47AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay vs. France | Andres Cubas over 0.5 shots | +380 @ BetMGM | 5.6% | 26.4% |
| Canada vs. Morocco | Liam Millar over 2.5 shots | +950 @ BetMGM | 1.6% | 11.1% |
| Paraguay vs. France | Diego Gomez over 2.5 shots | +1200 @ FanDuel | 1.6% | 8.3% |
| Paraguay vs. France | Matias Galarza over 2.5 shots | +1400 @ DraftKings | 1.6% | 8.3% |
| Paraguay vs. France | Juan Jose Caceres over 1.5 shots | +1800 @ FanDuel | 3.0% | 8.2% |
| Paraguay vs. France | Miguel Almiron over 3.5 shots | +1500 @ FanDuel | 1.7% | 7.9% |
| Paraguay vs. France | Gustavo Gomez over 1.5 shots | +1400 @ FanDuel | 1.0% | 7.7% |
| Paraguay vs. France | Dayot Upamecano anytime goal scorer | +1300 @ DraftKings | 0.3% | 7.4% |
| Paraguay vs. France | William Saliba first goal scorer | +2000 @ DraftKings | 2.3% | 7.1% |
| Paraguay vs. France | Lucas Digne anytime goal scorer | +1600 @ DraftKings | 0.8% | 6.7% |
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Curious about the added power of our World Cup prop picks with Dimers Pro? Watch this explainer video to see how you can elevate your betting strategy and maximize your winning potential.
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Conclusion
For July 4, 2026, our World Cup prop bets feature players such as Andres Cubas, Liam Millar and Diego Gomez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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