Jun 11, 2026
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Read Article Dodgers vs. Pirates prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [6/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers are scheduled to meet in MLB action at PNC Park on Thursday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.
Mitch Keller (5-3, 4.81 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Pirates, up against Justin Wrobleski (7-2, 2.62 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Dodgers as the most likely winner of the Dodgers vs. Pirates game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dodgers vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Dodgers and Pirates, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 59.6% chance of defeating the Pirates.
According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 51.3% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 53.3% chance of going over,.
Dodgers vs. Pirates odds [6/11/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dodgers | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -170 | +146 |
| Total | o9.5 (-105) | u9.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dodgers vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Pirates +1.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Pirates | +146 |
| Total | Over 9.5 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dodgers vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Dodgers at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 59.6% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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