Jun 11, 2026
Cubs vs. Rockies prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [6/11/2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Kyle Bradish [6/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for June 11, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Kyle Bradish, Martin Perez and Anthony Kay.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Mariners vs. Orioles and Cubs vs. Rockies, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Thursday, 6/11
Sourced from 70+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top ten MLB player props for June 11, ranked by probability.
Kyle Bradish under 5.5 hits allowed (-150)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 67.8%
- Game: Mariners vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Baltimore's Kyle Bradish under 5.5 hits allowed. A probability of 67.8% gives this play an edge of 7.8% at -150 odds.
Martin Perez over 4.5 hits allowed (-142)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 66.1%
- Game: Braves vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)
Martin Perez’s hits allowed prop shows a 66.1% probability and an 7.4% edge at -142 odds, according to our model.
Anthony Kay over 3.5 strikeouts (-141)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 65.8%
- Game: Braves vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Anthony Kay over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 65.8% probability and a 7.3% edge at -141.
Kyle Bradish under 17.5 outs recorded (-119)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 63.4%
- Game: Mariners vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)
Our model finds value on Kyle Bradish under 17.5 outs recorded, with a 63.4% probability and an edge of 9.1% at -119 odds.
Kyle Bradish under 2.5 earned runs (-137)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 62.8%
- Game: Mariners vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Kyle Bradish under 2.5 earned runs for Baltimore, showing an edge of 5.0% at -137 odds.
Mitch Keller under 3.5 earned runs (-140)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 62.5%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)
Mitch Keller’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 4.2% at -140 odds, supported by a 62.5% probability according to our model.
Rafael Flores over 0.5 bases (-120)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 59.2%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Rafael Flores over 0.5 bases for Pittsburgh, with a 59.2% probability and a 4.5% edge at -120 odds.
Kyle Bradish under 5.5 strikeouts (-106)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Game: Mariners vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)
The data shows value on Kyle Bradish under 5.5 strikeouts, supported by a 59.1% probability at -106 odds and an edge of 7.6%.
Justin Wrobleski under 17.5 outs recorded (+104)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 55.9%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)
A 6.8% edge on the under 5.5 outs recorded line makes Justin Wrobleski a value play in Dodgers vs. Pirates, supported by a 55.9% probability at +104 odds.
Henry Davis to get a hit (-112)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 55.2%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Henry Davis to get a hit here, with a 55.2% probability and 2.4% edge at -112 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Thursday, June 11, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:42PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners vs. Orioles | Kyle Bradish under 5.5 hits allowed | -150 @ DraftKings | 7.8% | 67.8% |
| Braves vs. White Sox | Martin Perez over 4.5 hits allowed | -142 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 66.1% |
| Braves vs. White Sox | Anthony Kay over 3.5 strikeouts | -141 @ BetRivers | 9.1% | 63.4% |
| Mariners vs. Orioles | Kyle Bradish under 17.5 outs recorded | -119 @ DraftKings | 9.1% | 63.4% |
| Mariners vs. Orioles | Kyle Bradish under 2.5 earned runs | -137 @ DraftKings | 5.0% | 62.8% |
| Dodgers vs. Pirates | Mitch Keller under 3.5 earned runs | -140 @ BetMGM | 4.2% | 62.5% |
| Dodgers vs. Pirates | Rafael Flores over 0.5 bases | -120 @ Fanatics | 4.5% | 59.2% |
| Mariners vs. Orioles | Kyle Bradish under 5.5 strikeouts | -106 @ FanDuel | 7.6% | 59.1% |
| Dodgers vs. Pirates | Justin Wrobleski under 17.5 outs recorded | +104 @ DraftKings | 6.8% | 55.9% |
| Dodgers vs. Pirates | Henry Davis to get a hit | -112 @ DraftKings | 2.4% | 55.2% |
Conclusion
For June 11, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Kyle Bradish, Martin Perez and Anthony Kay. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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