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Minnesota United vs. Seattle Sounders prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/8/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders predictions for MLS Cup Saturday.

Minnesota United-Seattle Sounders Predictions and Game Preview.
Minnesota United vs. Seattle Sounders MLS prediction for Saturday, November 8, 2025.

Minnesota will take on Seattle in the MLS Cup first round on Saturday, commencing at 4:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Minnesota as the most likely winner of the Minnesota vs. Seattle game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Minnesota United vs. Seattle Sounders prediction: Who will win MLS Cup first round matchup?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Minnesota and Seattle 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 40.5% chance of Minnesota winning, a 34.5% chance for Seattle, and a 25.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

Minnesota United vs. Seattle Sounders - MLS Cup first round odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Minnesota Seattle Draw
+215 +125 +240

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-120 -102

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Minnesota United vs. Seattle Sounders picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Minnesota +215
Total Goals Over 2.5 -120

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Minnesota to win.

 

Minnesota United vs. Seattle Sounders: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
MIN 1-1 SEA 11.7%
MIN 2-1 SEA 8.7%
MIN 1-0 SEA 8.6%

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Minnesota United vs. Seattle Sounders MLS Cup first round updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Minnesota and Seattle is scheduled to begin at 4:00PM ET.

Sports betting deal available for Saturday

To make the most of Saturday's enormous day of sports, headlined by college football Saturday games, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that secures $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Minnesota has a 40.5% win probability on Saturday, Seattle has a 34.5% win probability, and there is a 25.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Minnesota vs. Seattle insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLS

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLS news and parlay picks throughout the season.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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