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Read Article Philadelphia Union vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/22/2026]
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Union vs NY Red Bulls predictions for MLS Wednesday.
Philadelphia and NY Red Bulls will lock horns in MLS action at Subaru Park on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Philadelphia as the most likely winner of the Philadelphia vs. NY Red Bulls game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Philadelphia Union vs. NY Red Bulls prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Philadelphia and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 57.9% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 21.7% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 20.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 66.5% chance of going over, according to our model.
Philadelphia Union vs. NY Red Bulls odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Philadelphia | NY Red Bulls | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -135 | +350 | +335 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -211 | +160 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Philadelphia Union vs. NY Red Bulls picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Philadelphia @ -135 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -211 via Bet365
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Philadelphia Union vs. NY Red Bulls: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Philadelphia win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PHI 2-1 NYR | 9.6% |
| PHI 1-1 NYR | 8.9% |
| PHI 2-0 NYR | 7.6% |
Philadelphia Union vs. NY Red Bulls game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between Philadelphia and NY Red Bulls in MLS at Subaru Park is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Union vs. NY Red Bulls
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Subaru Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 57.9% win probability on Wednesday, NY Red Bulls have a 21.7% win probability, and there is a 20.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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