MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Tigers vs. Rangers play [7/5/2026]

Tigers vs. Rangers Over 8.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Rangers (3:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Tigers vs. Rangers at +117 odds. A 51.7% probability produces an edge of 5.7%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Twins vs. Yankees Over 8.5 runs (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)

Twins vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs carries a 5.3% edge and a probability of 55.8% at -102 odds, according to our model.

Astros ML (+117)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Astros (3:30PM ET)

Astros ML at +117 odds shows a 5.2% edge, supported by a 51.3% probability in simulations.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners over 7.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 53%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Mariners (5:00PM ET)

A 4.9% edge and 53% probability make Blue Jays vs. Mariners over 7.5 runs a value play in the Blue Jays vs. Mariners matchup, per our model.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs (+120)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 50.2%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Diamondbacks (4:00PM ET)

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs at +120 odds presents a 4.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 50.2%.

Red Sox vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs (+106)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Angels (9:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Red Sox vs. Angels at +106 odds, supported by an edge of 4.3%.

Mets vs. Braves Over 9.5 runs (+122)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 49%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Braves (12:30PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Mets vs. Braves Over 9.5 runs at +122 odds. A 49% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Cubs -1.5 (+150)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 43%
• Matchup: Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:30PM ET)

A 3.0% edge on a 43% probability makes Cubs -1.5 at +150 odds a solid value play in today's Cardinals vs. Cubs matchup.

Cubs ML (-141)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Matchup: Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:30PM ET)

Our model projects value on Cubs to win at -141 odds. A 61.2% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making Cubs the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Diamondbacks +1.5 (-138)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Diamondbacks (4:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Diamondbacks +1.5 at -138 odds shows a 60.5% probability and a 2.5% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 7/5/2026

As of 3:11AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/5/2026]

• Mets vs. Braves (12:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Pirates vs. Nationals (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Orioles vs. Reds (1:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Twins vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• White Sox vs. Guardians (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Phillies vs. Royals (3:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Tigers vs. Rangers (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Rays vs. Astros (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Giants vs. Rockies (4:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Brewers vs. D-Backs (4:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Marlins vs. Athletics (4:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Blue Jays vs. Mariners (5:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Padres vs. Dodgers (7:20PM ET, Sunday)
• Red Sox vs. Angels (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 5, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Tigers vs. Rangers matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Twins vs. Yankees matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.