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Read Article MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Nolan McLean [7/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get MLB player props today with projections for Sunday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 5, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Nolan McLean, Cade Cavalli and Casey Mize.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Brewers vs. D-Backs and Marlins vs. Athletics, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Sunday, 7/5
Sourced from 120+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 5, ranked by probability.
Nolan McLean under 6.5 strikeouts (-184)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 73.0%
- Game: Mets vs. Braves (12:30PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on NY Mets' Nolan McLean under 6.5 strikeouts. A probability of 73.0% gives this play an edge of 8.2% at -184 odds.
Cade Cavalli under 5.5 hits allowed (-137)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 65.9%
- Game: Pirates vs. Nationals (1:00PM ET)
Cade Cavalli’s hits allowed prop shows a 65.9% probability and an 8.1% edge at -137 odds, according to our model.
Casey Mize under 17.5 outs recorded (-119)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 63.2%
- Game: Tigers vs. Rangers (3:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Casey Mize under 17.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 63.2% probability and an 8.8% edge at -119.
Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts (-138)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 62.2%
- Game: Brewers vs. D-Backs (4:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts, with a 62.2% probability and an edge of 4.2% at -138 odds.
Tanner Gordon under 3.5 strikeouts (-130)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 61.3%
- Game: Giants vs. Rockies (4:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Tanner Gordon under 3.5 strikeouts for Colorado, showing an edge of 4.8% at -130 odds.
Tyler Callihan to get a hit (-124)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 59.9%
- Game: Pirates vs. Nationals (1:00PM ET)
Tyler Callihan’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 4.5% at -124 odds, supported by a 59.9% probability according to our model.
Owen Caissie to get a hit (-129)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 59.8%
- Game: Marlins vs. Athletics (4:30PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Owen Caissie to get a hit for Miami, with a 59.8% probability and a 3.5% edge at -129 odds.
Bubba Chandler under 4.5 strikeouts (+100)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 59.8%
- Game: Pirates vs. Nationals (1:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Bubba Chandler under 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 59.8% probability at +100 odds and an edge of 9.8%.
Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases (-104)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 59.7%
- Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (7:20PM ET)
An 8.7% edge on the over 4.5 bases line makes Shohei Ohtani a value play in Padres vs. Dodgers, supported by a 59.7% probability at -104 odds.
Mickey Moniak over 1.5 bases (-125)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Game: Giants vs. Rockies (4:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Mickey Moniak over 1.5 bases here, with a 59.5% probability and 4.0% edge at -125 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Sunday, July 5, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:54AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets vs. Braves | Nolan McLean under 6.5 strikeouts | -184 @ FanDuel | 8.2% | 73.0% |
| Pirates vs. Nationals | Cade Cavalli under 5.5 hits allowed | -137 @ DraftKings | 8.1% | 65.9% |
| Tigers vs. Rangers | Casey Mize under 17.5 outs recorded | -119 @ DraftKings | 4.2% | 62.2% |
| Brewers vs. D-Backs | Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts | -138 @ DraftKings | 4.2% | 62.2% |
| Giants vs. Rockies | Tanner Gordon under 3.5 strikeouts | -130 @ FanDuel | 4.8% | 61.3% |
| Pirates vs. Nationals | Tyler Callihan to get a hit | -124 @ DraftKings | 4.5% | 59.9% |
| Marlins vs. Athletics | Owen Caissie to get a hit | -129 @ DraftKings | 3.5% | 59.8% |
| Pirates vs. Nationals | Bubba Chandler under 4.5 strikeouts | +100 @ FanDuel | 9.8% | 59.8% |
| Padres vs. Dodgers | Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases | -104 @ DraftKings | 8.7% | 59.7% |
| Giants vs. Rockies | Mickey Moniak over 1.5 bases | -125 @ Fanatics | 4.0% | 59.5% |
Conclusion
For July 5, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Nolan McLean, Cade Cavalli and Casey Mize. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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