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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +820 pick for Friday [5/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, May 29, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for May 29, 2026
See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +820.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 24.8% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 20.3% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 19.6% |
| Rafael Devers (Giants) | 19.1% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 18.9% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 18.8% |
| Ronald Acuna (Braves) | 18.6% |
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 18.6% |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | 18.5% |
| Jake Burger (Rangers) | 18.2% |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.8% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (20.3%) and Shohei Ohtani (19.6%).
Rafael Devers and Ben Rice are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [5/29/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro spotlights today’s top home run prop.
Danny Jansen (Rangers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 14.8%
- Odds: +820
- Edge: 3.9%
- Game: Royals vs. Rangers (8:05 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Stephen Kolek
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Texas slugger Danny Jansen rates as a value play at +820 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 3.9% edge.
With Stephen Kolek on the mound for the Royals, the data supports Jansen as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 14 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 29, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Danny Jansen who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.9% edge at +820 odds.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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