Liberty vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 17 points in Saturday's WNBA matchup [7/18/2026]
Get New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Indiana Fever and New York Liberty will meet in the WNBA at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Fever game.
The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, will face off against the Liberty, who feature Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones.
Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 17 points and 2 threes.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Liberty vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Liberty a 57.7% chance of beating the Fever.
According to our model, the Fever (+2) have a 50.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 181.5-point over/under has a 66.3% chance of staying under,.
Liberty vs. Fever odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Liberty | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2 (-115) | +2 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +115 |
| Total | o181.5 (-110) | u181.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liberty vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fever +2 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Liberty | -130 |
| Total | Under 181.5 | fanatics-105 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Liberty vs. Fever player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the New York vs. Indiana game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 21 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 21 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Breanna Stewart as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Liberty prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 41 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 18 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 38 |
| Jonquel Jones | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Pauline Astier | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| Marine Johannes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 21 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| Caitlin Clark | 17 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 39 |
| Aliyah Boston | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 35 |
| S. Cunningham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
Liberty vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Fever and Liberty at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 57.7% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
