Sparks vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Friday's WNBA game [7/17/2026]
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Chicago Sky will take on the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Wintrust Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Sky as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Sky game.
The Sky, who have the likes of Sydney Taylor, Azura Stevens and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Sparks, who feature Nneka Ogwumike, Dearica Hamby and Rae Burrell.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Sky a 58.5% chance of beating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sky (-1.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 184.5 points has a 75.4% chance of staying under,.
Sparks vs. Sky odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (+100) | -1.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +108 | -115 |
| Total | o184.5 (+108) | u184.5 (-107) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Sky picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky -1.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Sky | -115 |
| Total | Under 184.5 | -107 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 184.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Sky player props
WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Los Angeles vs. Chicago matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.
Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Sparks with 17 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Sydney Taylor is projected to have 21 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sky.
For early game action, the data identifies Kamilla Cardoso as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 17 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Dearica Hamby | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| Rae Burrell | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Ariel Atkins | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Erica Wheeler | 11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
Sky prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | 21 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 31 |
| Azura Stevens | 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 38 |
| Natasha Cloud | 13 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 32 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Gabriela Jaquez | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
Sparks vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Sky and Sparks at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Wintrust Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 58.5% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
