Storm vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 18 points in Friday's WNBA matchup [7/17/2026]
Get Seattle Storm vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Indiana Fever will face the Seattle Storm in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Fever game.
The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, will face off against the Storm, featuring Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Awa Fam.
Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 18 points and 2 threes.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Storm vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Fever a 77.9% chance of defeating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+9) have a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 174.5-point over/under has a 60.7% chance of staying under,.
Storm vs. Fever odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9 (-105) | -9 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +326 | -335 |
| Total | o174.5 (-104) | u174.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +9 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Fever | -335 |
| Total | Under 174.5 | -102 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 174.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Fever player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Seattle vs. Indiana matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Dominique Malonga is expected to lead the Storm with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 20 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
When evaluating the first basket market, Kelsey Mitchell is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.3% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Storm prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malonga | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 36 |
| N. Hiedeman | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Awa Fam | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| F. Johnson | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Jade Melbourne | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Caitlin Clark | 18 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 44 |
| Aliyah Boston | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 41 |
| S. Cunningham | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
Storm vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Fever and Storm at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 77.9% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
