Mets vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [7/22/2026]
Get New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at American Family Field on Wednesday, beginning at 2:10 PM ET.
The Brewers will have Logan Henderson (3-1, 2.97 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets have opted for Christian Scott (3-1, 2.87 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 52.7% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's Mets vs. Brewers matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Brewers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Brewers a 52.7% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 64.4% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 56.0% chance of going over,.
Mets vs. Brewers odds [7/22/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-160) | -1.5 (+155) |
| Moneyline | +133 | -135 |
| Total | o7.5 (-113) | u7.5 (+108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Brewers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -160 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +133 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -113 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Brewers game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Brewers and Mets at American Family Field is scheduled to commence at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: American Family Field
Conclusion
We predict the Brewers, with a 52.7% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
