Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Seattle favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/1/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners predictions for MLB Monday.

New York Mets-Seattle Mariners Predictions and Game Preview.
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners MLB prediction for Monday, June 1, 2026.

MLB action continues on Monday at 9:40 PM ET as the New York Mets take on the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park.

Emerson Hancock (4-2, 2.78 ERA) will get the ball for the Mariners, pitting him against Austin Warren (1-1, 1.40 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mariners a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Mets.

This article offers further insights into Monday's Mets vs. Mariners matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Mariners, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mariners a 53% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

 

Mets vs. Mariners odds [6/1/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Mariners
Run Line +1.5 (-199) -1.5 (+172)
Moneyline +110 -130
Total o7 (-120) u7 (+101)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Mariners picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Mets +1.5 -199
Moneyline Mets +110
Total Over 7 -120

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Mets vs. Mariners game-day updates and essential details

Monday's MLB matchup between the Mariners and Mets at T-Mobile Park is scheduled to start at 9:40 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Mariners, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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