Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Seattle favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/1/2026]
Get New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners predictions for MLB Monday.

The Seattle Mariners will face the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at T-Mobile Park on Monday, commencing at 9:40 PM ET.
Emerson Hancock (4-2, 2.78 ERA) will start on the mound for the Mariners, while the Mets have opted for Austin Warren (1-1, 1.40 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mariners a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Mets vs. Mariners matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mariners a 53% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Mariners odds [6/1/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+172) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -130 |
| Total | o7 (-122) | u7 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Mariners picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -200 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +110 |
| Total | Over 7 | -122 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Mariners game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Mariners and Mets at T-Mobile Park is scheduled to start at 9:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
- Date: Monday, June 1, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET/6:40PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mariners, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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