PGA Golf Bets: Expert Picks, Best Odds, and Predictions for World Wide Technology Championship 2025

We're back with another week of PGA TOUR betting with our best golf bets and PGA picks from the Dimers golf model as we head to the World Wide Technology Championship at El Cardonal Golf Course in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico.

The Tiger Woods-designed course welcomes a 120-player field competing for a $6 million purse and 500 FedExCup points, with many players battling to secure 2026 TOUR status.

El Cardonal is a par-72 measuring 7,452 yards, defined by wide 60-yard fairways, massive 8,300-square-foot greens, and minimal hazards with the third-fewest bunkers on TOUR and a single water hazard, making it one of the more forgiving venues statistically on TOUR.

With scoring expected to go low once again (the course's 72-hole record is a 261 (-23) mark tied by Viktor Hovland, Russell Henley, and Erik van Rooyen), the key statistical categories this week will lean heavily toward Driving Distance, Strokes Gained: Approach, and Birdie or Better Percentage. The combination of wide fairways and oversized greens rewards long bombers and sharp iron players who can convert with the putter.

MORE: Use Dimers' Head-to-Head Matchup Simulator

Hopefully you've tailed along this season or at least utilized our Dimers Pro PGA Predictions model which is on a hot run since the FedExCup Playoffs - most recently cashing  +1400 Tommy Fleetwood winner at the TOUR Championship, hitting a Ben Griffin ladder and Scottie Scheffler win at the Procore Championship and predicting Xander Schauffele's win at +1100 at the Baycurrent classic.

Who Will Win the 2025 World Wide Technology Championship?

Below are the five most likely winners of the 2025 World Wide Technology Championship at El Cardonal Golf Course in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, the fifth stop of the FedExCup Fall schedule.

These win predictions are the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:

• Ben Griffin: Griffin has broken out in 2025, posting his first individual PGA TOUR wins, including a victory at the Charles Schwab Challenge and finishing T10 at the U.S. Open.

• J.J. Spaun: Spaun has enjoyed a career-defining season, narrowly missing at The Players Championship in a playoff and then capturing the U.S. Open 2025.

• Kevin Yu: Yu is still establishing himself on the PGA TOUR but flashed the upside with finishes of solo third and fourth, and is currently on a run of three-straight Top 20s.

• Max Greyserman: Greyserman has shown flashes of strong form, including three top-10 finishes and a solo second in his last event at the Baycurrent Classic.

• Nick Taylor: Taylor continues to be a reliable performer on the PGA TOUR as a five-time winner with three Top 10s this year.

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

Dimers' World Wide Technology Championship Best Bets

We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds. 

We'll also highlight any standout prop and placement bets for these golfers if we find any appealing value hidden in the Dimers golf predictions.

Ben Griffin to Win (+1200 on BetMGM)

Ben Griffin enters the World Wide Technology Championship as the betting favorite after a breakout 2025 season that includes two wins, two runner-up finishes, and a Ryder Cup debut.

Statistically, he’s one of the TOUR’s most balanced players, ranking 5th in Strokes Gained: Total—powered by top-25 ranks in both putting (18th) and approach (24th).

Since missing the cut at The Open, Griffin has gone on a heater, posting finishes of T11, T9, T12, T10, and solo 2nd, showing both elite form and consistency.

Dimers’ model gives him a 16% chance to win, among the highest for any non-Scheffler golfer this year

Griffin is a clear ladder play with an edge from Top 20 all the way up to outright win.

JJ Spaun to Win (+1200 on BetMGM)

Another golfer fresh off a breakout summer, J.J. Spaun continues to trend upward after a thrilling win at The Open and with a solo 6th at the Procore Championship in his most recent start.

He ranks 5th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach and remains solid across the board

 at 70th in putting, 40th in total driving, and above average in accuracy.

Spaun’s playoff run featured a runner-up finish at the FedEx St. Jude, followed by steady results at the BMW (T23) and TOUR Championship (T25).

With a 10.3% win probability per Dimers and fair odds closer to +870, he’s another appealing ladder play from Top 20 through outright.

Nick Taylor to Win (+4000 on BetMGM)

Nick Taylor returns to action for the first time since August, looking to build on a strong 2025 season that featured a win and nine Top-20 finishes.

His ball-striking has been reliable, ranking 27th in approach and 64th in putting, though his limited distance off the tee (159th) could be mitigated at El Cardonal’s wide fairways.

Taylor’s recent stretch includes highlights of a T19 at the TOUR Championship, T13 at the RBC Canadian Open, and T4 at the Memorial, proving he can contend in elite fields.

Dimers gives him a 3.4% win probability and is worth a look at Top 20 with an edge.

Matt Kuchar to Win (+5500 on DraftKings)

Matt Kuchar nearly shocked the field with a runner-up finish at El Cardonal in 2023, defying the course’s preference for distance with elite precision and putting.

The veteran remains one of the TOUR’s best with the putter ranking 14th in putting, set up by his top 20 ranking in proximity to the hole.

Kuchar enters in solid form with back-to-back Top 20s this fall and could again thrive on a layout that rewards patience and accuracy. 

His familiarity with this course and proven success in tropical settings make him a legitimate sleeper, and a win could provide him some redemption for stiffing his caddie when he won back in 2018.

At a 2.5% probability, the Dimers model says his fair odds should be +3900.

Matt Wallace Top 20 (+225 on BetRivers)

Matt Wallace has shown flashes of form this season, highlighted by a T3 at the 3M Open and a T10 at the Baycurrent Classic, among two top-10 finishes in his last 10 starts.

He doesn't have a strong driver but can clean up around the green, gaining over 0.5 strokes against the field.

With a 37% probability to finish inside the Top 20 and fair odds closer to +170 per Dimers, Wallace projects as a statistically sound value play in Mexico.

Lanto Griffin Top 20 (+450 on BetRivers)

Despite a mix of Cuts and a withdrawal at the Bank of Utah Championship, Griffin has gained over +1.25 strokes total per round in his past five starts, driven by improved approach and putting metrics.

He ranks 68th in SG: Approach and 75th in SG: Putting overall on TOUR, both above the field average and with El Cardonal’s forgiving layout minimizing the penalty for wayward drives, he's worth a look at +450 for a Top 20 finish according to the Dimers model, which puts him fair at +320 with a 23.9% probability.

Other ways to bet on the World Wide Technology Championship with the Dimers model

Beyond outright winners. there are a number of ways to utilize the Dimers' golf predictions to bet on PGA TOUR events.

Top 20 Parlay

Rather than betting on golfers to beat everyone else in the field, consider pairing some of Dimers' value bets or highest-projected finishers to all secure a Top 20 finish. Look for the market including ties to avoid any dead heat reduction.

This week, we project six golfers with at least a 40% probability to finish Top 20, with Ben Griffin, J.J. Spaun and Nick Taylor each getting an edge.

All three to finish Top 20 make a +569 parlay at DraftKings.

Nationality Props

One of the more unique ways to use the Dimers Golf predictions is in the Nationality props market.

Each golfer's native region is marked in our projected leaderboard, quickly identifying which golfers are predicted to lead their group.

For example, Kevin Yu (Top Asian, +230), Nick Taylor (Top Canadian, +160) and Matt Wallace (Top European, +800) are projected to finish atop their respective region.

Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers Pros also have access to the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

• PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including every major.
• Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
• Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
• PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR

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