Philadelphia Union vs. New York City prediction, odds, picks, and MLS Season Pass discount code [10/4/2025]

Philadelphia will take on NY City in MLS action at Subaru Park on Saturday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner of today's game.

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Philadelphia vs. NY City predictions page.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Philadelphia and NY City 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 50.0% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 25.7% chance for NY City, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Philadelphia	NY City	Draw
-110	+260	+275

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-160	+130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Philadelphia Union vs. New York City picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Philadelphia Union vs. New York City matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLS picks and MLS best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
PHI 1-1 NYC	11.5%
PHI 1-0 NYC	10.1%
PHI 2-1 NYC	9.6%

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Philadelphia and NY City in MLS at Subaru Park is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Union vs. New York City
• Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Subaru Park

Dimers' in-depth preview of Saturday's Philadelphia vs. NY City matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any NY City vs. Philadelphia picks, be sure to check out the latest MLS predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 50.0% win probability on Saturday, NY City has a 25.7% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Philadelphia vs. NY City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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