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Read Article Adelaide Crows vs. Port Adelaide Power prediction: Why Crows are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 8 matchup [5/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power predictions for AFL Friday.
The Adelaide Crows will face the Port Adelaide Power in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Adelaide Oval on Friday, starting at 6:10 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Crows as the most likely winner of the Power vs. Crows game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Crows vs. Power prediction: Who will win Round 8 game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL game between the Power and Crows, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Crows a 62% chance of beating the Power.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Power and Crows each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 179.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Port Adelaide vs. Adelaide odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Power | Crows |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +135 | -169 |
| Line (Spread) | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-115) |
| Total | o179.5 (-115) | u179.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Power vs. Crows picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Power +8.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Crows | -169 |
| Total | Under 179.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 179.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Crows vs. Power game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Crows and Power at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Port Adelaide Power vs. Adelaide Crows
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Crows, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Power in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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