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Read Article Tempo vs. Sun prediction: Why Connecticut is favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [6/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Toronto Tempo vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Connecticut Sun and Toronto Tempo will lock horns in the WNBA at Mohegan Sun Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Sun as the most likely winner of the Tempo vs. Sun game.
The Sun, powered by Brittney Griner, Leila Lacan and Aneesah Morrow, will face off against the Tempo, featuring Marina Mabrey, Laura Juskaite and Isabelle Harrison.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Tempo vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Tempo and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Sun a 60.7% chance of defeating the Tempo.
According to our model, the Sun (-1.5) have a 55.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 168.5 points has a 61.0% chance of staying under,.
Tempo vs. Sun odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tempo | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-105) | -1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -120 |
| Total | o168.5 (-110) | u168.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tempo vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun -1.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sun | -120 |
| Total | Under 168.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 168.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tempo vs. Sun player props
Looking for Toronto vs. Connecticut WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Marina Mabrey is expected to lead the Tempo with 18 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Brittney Griner is projected to have 12 points, 5 rebounds and 1 assists for the Sun.
For early game action, the data identifies Marina Mabrey as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Tempo prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 18 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 35 |
| Laura Juskaite | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| I. Harrison | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 |
| Maria Conde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Julie Allemand | 7 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 25 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| Leila Lacan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 28 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Saniya Rivers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
Tempo vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Sun and Tempo at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Friday, June 19, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sun, with a 60.7% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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