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Read Article Mystics vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Friday's WNBA game [6/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Washington Mystics vs New York Liberty predictions for WNBA Friday.
The New York Liberty will face the Washington Mystics in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Mystics vs. Liberty game.
The Liberty, led by Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, will face off against the Mystics, whose lineup includes Sonia Citron, Kiki Iriafen and Shakira Austin.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Mystics vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA game between the Mystics and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Liberty an 88.5% chance of defeating the Mystics.
According to our model, the Liberty (-12.5) have a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 168.5 points has a 56.0% chance of going over,.
Mystics vs. Liberty odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mystics | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-138) | -12.5 (+104) |
| Moneyline | +525 | -620 |
| Total | o168.5 (-115) | u168.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mystics vs. Liberty picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Liberty -12.5 | +104 |
| Moneyline | Liberty | -620 |
| Total | Over 168.5 | -115 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 168.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mystics vs. Liberty player props
WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Friday's Mystics vs. Liberty matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Sonia Citron is expected to lead the Mystics with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 21 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.
For early game action, the data identifies Kiki Iriafen as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Mystics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Citron | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| Shakira Austin | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| M. Onyenwere | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
| Cotie McMahon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
Liberty prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 43 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 15 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 32 |
| Jonquel Jones | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Satou Sabally | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Pauline Astier | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
Mystics vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Liberty and Mystics at Barclays Center is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Friday, June 19, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with an 88.5% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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