Jun 18, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, June 18, 2026
Read Article Dream vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 17 points in Thursday's WNBA matchup [6/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlanta Dream vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Indiana Fever will face the Atlanta Dream, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model gives the Dream a slight edge with a 50.5% win probability over the Fever.
The Fever, led by Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, will face off against the Dream, whose lineup includes Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese.
Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 17 points and 2 threes.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Dream vs. Fever matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Dream vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Dream and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Dream a 50.5% chance of beating the Fever.
According to our model, the Fever (+1.5) have a 54.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 173.5-point over/under has a 54.7% chance of staying under,.
Dream vs. Fever odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dream | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-104) | +1.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | -110 | -108 |
| Total | o173.5 (-110) | u173.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dream vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fever +1.5 | -118 |
| Moneyline | Dream | -110 |
| Total | Under 173.5 | -110 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 173.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dream vs. Fever player props
Betting on Atlanta vs. Indiana WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Allisha Gray is expected to lead the Dream with 18 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 20 points, 1 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
For early game action, the data identifies Aliyah Boston as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Dream prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Dream are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Rhyne Howard | 17 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| Angel Reese | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 40 |
| Jordin Canada | 11 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 30 |
| Naz Hillmon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 20 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Caitlin Clark | 17 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 42 |
| Aliyah Boston | 14 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 35 |
| S. Cunningham | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
Dream vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Fever and Dream at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Thursday, June 18, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with a 50.5% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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