Jun 18, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, June 18, 2026
Read Article WNBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Paige Bueckers [6/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Wednesday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for June 18, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Paige Bueckers, Alyssa Thomas and Olivia Miles.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Mystics vs. Sun and Wings vs. Valkyries, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop picks for Thursday, 6/17
Sourced from 20+ total WNBA props on site today, below are the top ten WNBA player props for June 17, ranked by probability.
Paige Bueckers under 9.5 assists (-144)
- Edge: 11.4%
- Probability: 70.4%
- Projection: 4.5
- Game: Wings vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Dallas' Paige Bueckers under 9.5 assists. A probability of 70.4% gives this play an edge of 11.4% at -144 odds.
Alyssa Thomas over 4.5 rebounds (-166)
- Edge: 7.5%
- Probability: 69.9%
- Projection: 9.1
- Game: Aces vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Alyssa Thomas’s rebounds prop shows a 7.5% edge at -166 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 9.1 rebounds on the over 4.5 line.
Olivia Miles under 33.5 points scored (+100)
- Edge: 19.0%
- Probability: 69.0%
- Projection: 15.7
- Game: Lynx vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Olivia Miles under 33.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 69.0% probability and a 19.0% edge at +100.
Alyssa Thomas under 11.5 assists (-136)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 66.1%
- Projection: 8.4
- Game: Aces vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Alyssa Thomas to record 8.4 assists today, creating an edge of 8.5% on the under 11.5 line at -136 odds.
Azzi Fudd over 1.5 3-pointers made (+158)
- Edge: 25.5%
- Probability: 64.2%
- Projection: 2.9
- Game: Wings vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Azzi Fudd over 1.5 3-pointers made for Dallas, showing an edge of 25.5% at +158 odds.
Natasha Howard under 10.5 rebounds (-152)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 63.3%
- Projection: 8.1
- Game: Lynx vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)
Natasha Howard’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 3.0% at -152 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 8.1 today.
Veronica Burton over 4.5 assists (+114)
- Edge: 16.5%
- Probability: 63.3%
- Projection: 6.9
- Game: Wings vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Veronica Burton for 6.9 assists for Golden State, creating an edge of 16.5% on over 4.5 at +114 odds.
Carla Leite under 17.5 points scored (-122)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 62.6%
- Projection: 10.9
- Game: Storm vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Carla Leite for 10.9 points scored, creating value on the under 17.5 line at -122 odds and a 7.7% edge.
Kahleah Copper under 23.5 points scored (-114)
- Edge: 8.6%
- Probability: 61.9%
- Projection: 17.4
- Game: Aces vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
An 8.6% edge on the under 17.5 points scored line makes Kahleah Copper a value play in Aces vs. Mercury, with our model projecting her for 17.4 points scored at -114 odds.
Azzi Fudd over 9.5 points scored (-102)
- Edge: 10.1%
- Probability: 60.6%
- Projection: 14.8
- Game: Wings vs. Valkyries (10:00PM ET)
Simulations project Azzi Fudd for 14.8 points scored here, creating a 10.1% edge on the over 9.5 line at -102 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings vs. Valkyries | Paige Bueckers under 9.5 assists | -144 @ FanDuel | 11.4% | 70.4% |
| Aces vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas over 4.5 rebounds | -166 @ FanDuel | 7.5% | 69.9% |
| Lynx vs. Sparks | Olivia Miles under 33.5 points scored | +100 @ FanDuel | 8.5% | 66.1% |
| Aces vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas under 11.5 assists | -136 @ FanDuel | 8.5% | 66.1% |
| Wings vs. Valkyries | Azzi Fudd over 1.5 3-pointers made | +158 @ FanDuel | 25.5% | 64.2% |
| Lynx vs. Sparks | Natasha Howard under 10.5 rebounds | -152 @ FanDuel | 3.0% | 63.3% |
| Wings vs. Valkyries | Veronica Burton over 4.5 assists | +114 @ FanDuel | 16.5% | 63.3% |
| Storm vs. Fire | Carla Leite under 17.5 points scored | -122 @ FanDuel | 7.7% | 62.6% |
| Aces vs. Mercury | Kahleah Copper under 23.5 points scored | -114 @ FanDuel | 8.6% | 61.9% |
| Wings vs. Valkyries | Azzi Fudd over 9.5 points scored | -102 @ FanDuel | 10.1% | 60.6% |
Conclusion
For June 17, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Paige Bueckers, Alyssa Thomas and Olivia Miles. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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