Jun 17, 2026
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Read Article Storm vs. Fire prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [6/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Seattle Storm vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Portland Fire and Seattle Storm will lock horns in the WNBA at Moda Center on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Fire as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Fire game.
The Fire, who have star players like Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton, will face off against the Storm, whose lineup includes Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Storm vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Storm and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Fire a 58.7% chance of beating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+3.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 52.6% chance of staying under,.
Storm vs. Fire odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-104) | -3.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -170 |
| Total | o162.5 (-112) | u162.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +3.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Storm | +155 |
| Total | Under 162.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm +3.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Fire player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Wednesday's Storm vs. Fire matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Natisha Hiedeman is expected to lead the Storm with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 11 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Fire.
When evaluating the first basket market, Megan Gustafson is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 14% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Storm prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hiedeman | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| D. Malonga | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| F. Johnson | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Awa Fam | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
| Jade Melbourne | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 24 |
| Megan Gustafson | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| B. Carleton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Sarah Barker | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
Storm vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Fire and Storm at Moda Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Fire, with a 58.7% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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