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Read Article Liberty vs. Sky prediction: Why New York is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [6/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Liberty vs Chicago Sky predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Chicago Sky will square off with the favored New York Liberty in WNBA action at Wintrust Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Sky game.
The Sky, with stars such as Skylar Diggins-Smith, Kamilla Cardoso and Azura Stevens, will face off against the Liberty, featuring Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Liberty vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Liberty and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Liberty a 76.8% chance of beating the Sky.
According to our model, the Sky (+10.5) have a 61.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 51.2% chance of staying under,.
Liberty vs. Sky odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Liberty | Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -10.5 (-104) | +10.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -500 | +400 |
| Total | o169.5 (-110) | u169.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liberty vs. Sky picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky +10.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sky | +400 |
| Total | Under 169.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sky +10.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Liberty vs. Sky player props
WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Wednesday's New York vs. Chicago game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.
Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 19 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Sky.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Breanna Stewart striking first with a 12.9% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Liberty prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 42 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 15 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 32 |
| Jonquel Jones | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Satou Sabally | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Pauline Astier | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
Sky prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diggins-Smith | 15 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 32 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 |
| Azura Stevens | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Natasha Cloud | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| E. Williams | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
Liberty vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Sky and Liberty at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Wintrust Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 76.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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