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Read Article Lynx vs. Sparks prediction: Minnesota favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [6/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Los Angeles Sparks will take on the favored Minnesota Lynx in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Sparks game.
The Sparks, who have star players like Kelsey Plum, Nneka Ogwumike and Dearica Hamby, are set to take on the Lynx, whose lineup includes Courtney Williams, Olivia Miles and Natasha Howard.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Lynx and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lynx an 84.6% chance of beating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Lynx (-9.5) have a 53.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 177.5-point over/under has a 66.3% chance of staying under,.
Lynx vs. Sparks odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -9.5 (-112) | +9.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -425 | +350 |
| Total | o177.5 (-110) | u177.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lynx -9.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Lynx | -425 |
| Total | Under 177.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 177.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Sparks player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Wednesday's Minnesota vs. Los Angeles matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Courtney Williams is expected to lead the Lynx with 16 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Kelsey Plum is projected to have 19 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Sparks.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kelsey Plum striking first with a 15.1% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 16 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Olivia Miles | 16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Natasha Howard | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| Kayla McBride | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 19 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Dearica Hamby | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32 |
| Ariel Atkins | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Rae Burrell | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
Lynx vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Sparks and Lynx at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with an 84.6% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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