Tempo vs. Sparks prediction: Los Angeles favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [5/15/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Toronto Tempo vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Friday.

Toronto Tempo-Los Angeles Sparks Predictions and Game Preview.
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks WNBA prediction for Friday, May 15, 2026.

WNBA action continues on Friday at 10:00 PM ET as the Toronto Tempo lock horns with the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Sparks as the most likely winner of the Tempo vs. Sparks game.

The Sparks, led by Nneka Ogwumike, Kelsey Plum and Dearica Hamby, will face off against the Tempo, who feature Marina Mabrey, Brittney Sykes and Maria Conde.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Tempo vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Tempo and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Sparks a 73% chance of beating the Tempo.

According to our model, the Tempo (+7.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 170.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

 

Tempo vs. Sparks odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Tempo Sparks
Spread +7.5 (-105) -7.5 (-112)
Moneyline +270 -320
Total o170.5 (-105) u170.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tempo vs. Sparks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Tempo +7.5 -105
Moneyline Tempo +270
Total Under 170.5 -105

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Tempo +7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Tempo vs. Sparks player props

Betting on Toronto vs. Los Angeles WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Marina Mabrey is expected to lead the Tempo with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 20 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sparks.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Tempo prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Marina Mabrey 16 4 4 3 31
Brittney Sykes 16 4 4 1 32
Maria Conde 10 5 2 1 23
Nyara Sabally 10 7 1 0 28
Kiki Rice 8 3 2 1 17

Sparks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Nneka Ogwumike 20 8 2 2 38
Kelsey Plum 18 3 5 2 36
Dearica Hamby 18 8 3 0 37
Rae Burrell 11 4 2 1 24
Erica Wheeler 9 3 3 1 22

Tempo vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Sparks and Tempo at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Sparks, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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