Tempo vs. Lynx prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [5/21/2026]

The Minnesota Lynx and Toronto Tempo will meet in the WNBA at Target Center on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Tempo vs. Lynx game.

The Lynx, powered by Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Natasha Howard, are set to take on the Tempo, featuring Brittney Sykes, Marina Mabrey and Kiki Rice.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Tempo vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Tempo and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx a 64% chance of beating the Tempo.

According to our model, the Tempo (+5.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 63% chance of staying under.

Tempo vs. Lynx odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Tempo	Lynx
Spread	+5.5 (-105)	-5.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+195	-220
Total	o172.5 (-110)	u172.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tempo vs. Lynx picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Tempo +5.5	-105
Moneyline	Tempo	+195
Total	Under 172.5	-106

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 172.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tempo vs. Lynx player props

Looking for Toronto vs. Minnesota WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Brittney Sykes is expected to lead the Tempo with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Kayla McBride is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Lynx.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Tempo prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Brittney Sykes	16	4	4	1	32
Marina Mabrey	15	4	4	2	29
Kiki Rice	10	4	3	1	23
Laura Juskaite	10	6	1	1	25
Maria Conde	7	4	1	1	16

Lynx prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kayla McBride	15	3	3	3	29
C. Williams	15	6	7	1	38
Natasha Howard	14	8	2	0	33
Olivia Miles	14	6	5	1	33
Nia Coffey	11	7	2	2	29

Tempo vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Lynx and Tempo at Target Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx
• Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.