Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Mystics vs. Fever play [5/14/2026]

Today’s best WNBA bets for May 14, 2026 are here, with Mystics vs. Fever and Liberty vs. Fire among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s WNBA schedule.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest WNBA odds to uncover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of WNBA best bets tonight [5/14, updated 7:45PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, May 14, 2026.

Mystics vs. Fever over 172.5 points (+123)

• Edge: 13.8%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on over 172.5 points in Mystics vs. Fever at +123 odds. A 58.6% probability produces an edge of 13.8%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Liberty vs. Fire under 176.5 points (-112)

• Edge: 13.7%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Matchup: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Liberty vs. Fire under 176.5 points carries a 13.7% edge and a probability of 66.6% at -112 odds, according to our model.

Sun +14.5 (-104)

• Edge: 12.8%
• Probability: 63.8%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Sun (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Sun +14.5 vs. Aces at -104 odds shows a 12.8% edge, supported by a 63.8% probability in simulations.

Wings ML (-147)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 69.5%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 10.0% edge and 69.5% probability make Wings at the moneyline at a value play in the Lynx vs. Wings matchup, per our model.

Lynx vs. Wings under 178.5 points (-104)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 60.9%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Lynx vs. Wings under 178.5 points at -104 odds presents a 9.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 60.9%.

Fever -8.5 (-104)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Matchup: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on Fever -8.5 at -104 odds, supported by an edge of 7.8%.

Fever ML (-355)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 85.4%
• Matchup: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Fever ML at -355 odds. An 85.4% probability produces a 7.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Aces vs. Sun under 170.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Sun (7:30PM ET, Friday)

A 7.0% edge on a 57% probability makes under 170.5 points at +100 odds a solid value play in today's Aces vs. Sun matchup.

Sun ML (+999)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 15%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Sun (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model projects value on Sun to win at +999 odds. A 15% probability produces a 5.9% edge, making Sun the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Wings -3.5 (-107)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.1%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Wings -3.5 at -107 odds shows a 56.1% probability and a 4.5% edge.

WNBA best bets summary: Thursday, 5/14/2026

As of 7:45PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [5/14/2026]

• Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Aces vs. Sun (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for May 14, 2026, featuring plays such as over 172.5 points in the Mystics vs. Fever matchup and under 176.5 points in the Liberty vs. Fire matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.