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WNBA player props today: Game 1 plays include Satou Sabally [10/3/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get WNBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.

WNBA Prop Bets.
WNBA prop bets for October 3, 2025 are based on the latest odds and projections for Friday's basketball games.

Our WNBA Finals player props for Mercury vs. Aces Game 1 are locked and loaded, chosen through cutting-edge simulations and advanced machine learning.

These WNBA player props are designed to enhance your betting strategy and feature players such as Satou Sabally, A'ja Wilson and Jewell Loyd.

Three of today's prop betting opportunities are listed below, with Dimers Pro members getting unlimited access to our full suite of prop picks and today's WNBA player projections.

Today's full list of WNBA prop bets is led by a player in the Mercury vs. Aces game to go over her total rebounds line, with our in-house predictive model finding an edge of 9% at +125 odds.

Join Dimers Pro now to unlock this and more data-driven props and best bets.

List of WNBA prop picks for WNBA Finals Game 1

While the WNBA prop picks on this page for Friday are sorted by win probability, betting on likelihood alone means leaving money on the table.

Smart bettors chase edge—not just probability—and the highest-edge picks are reserved for Dimers Pro users to give them the best shot at winning.

Satou Sabally over 6.5 total rebounds (-115)

  • Probability: 58.2%
  • Projection: 7.9
  • Edge: 4.7%

Our model has found a strong WNBA prop for Friday's Mercury vs. Aces game, zeroing in on Phoenix' Satou Sabally. With a 58.2% chance of hitting, we suggest betting on Satou Sabally over 6.5 total rebounds at -115 odds, offering an edge of 4.7%.

 

Satou Sabally over 16.5 points scored (-104)

  • Probability: 57.8%
  • Projection: 20.3
  • Edge: 6.8%

Our model has identified another high-probability prop for Friday's WNBA action, once again spotlighting Satou Sabally in the Mercury-Aces game. We recommend betting on Satou Sabally over 16.5 points scored at -104 odds, backed by a 57.8% chance of hitting and a 6.8% edge.

 

A'ja Wilson over 11.5 total rebounds (-105)

  • Probability: 54.9%
  • Projection: 12.4
  • Edge: 3.7%

According to our analysis, another strong prop for Friday's WNBA action focuses on Las Vegas' A'ja Wilson in the Mercury vs. Aces matchup. Our recommended bet is A'ja Wilson over 11.5 total rebounds at -105 odds, with a 54.9% chance of hitting and a 3.7% edge.

 

WNBA Finals player prop picks: Friday, October 3, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top three props by probability according to our model as of 7:56PM ET:

Matchup Prop Odds Probability Edge
Mercury vs. Aces Satou Sabally Over 6.5 Total Rebounds -115 @ DraftKings 58.2% 4.7%
Mercury vs. Aces Satou Sabally Over 16.5 Points Scored -104 @ FanDuel 57.8% 6.8%
Mercury vs. Aces A'ja Wilson Over 11.5 Total Rebounds -105 @ DraftKings 54.9% 3.7%

Get unlimited access to our complete suite of prop picks by signing up for Dimers Pro.

Friday's WNBA props are highlighted by a play with an edge of 9% on the best available odds—the kind of high-value bet you won't find by chasing probability alone.

Dimers Pro users have access to 18 WNBA player props at the time of writing, all backed by real betting value.

More on WNBA

The prop bets on this page are part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.

Stay updated with the latest WNBA news, data-driven WNBA predictions and WNBA title odds.

Conclusion

For October 3, 2025, our WNBA Finals prop bets are locked and loaded, featuring players like Satou Sabally, A'ja Wilson and Jewell Loyd. Powered by cutting-edge simulations, these picks are here to make sure you're betting smarter, not harder.

With the help of AI and automation, this article delivers today's WNBA prop bets and insights quickly and accurately, while human oversight ensures high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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