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WNBA player props today: Game 4's best props include A'ja Wilson [10/10/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get WNBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.

WNBA Prop Bets.
WNBA prop bets for October 10, 2025 are based on the latest odds and projections for Friday's basketball games.

Our WNBA Finals player props for Aces vs. Mercury Game 4 are locked in, generated through state-of-the-art simulations and high-tech machine learning.

These WNBA player props are designed to enhance your betting strategy and feature players like A'ja Wilson, Alyssa Thomas and Jackie Young.

Three of today's prop betting opportunities are listed below, with Dimers Pro users getting unlimited access to our full suite of prop picks and today's WNBA player projections.

Today's full list of WNBA prop bets is led by a player in the Aces vs. Mercury game to go over her total assists line, with our in-house predictive model pinpointing an edge of 12% at +120 odds.

Join Dimers Pro now to unlock this and more data-driven props and best bets.

List of WNBA prop bets for WNBA Finals Game 4

While the WNBA prop picks on this page for Friday are sorted by win probability, betting on likelihood alone means leaving money on the table.

Smart bettors chase edge—not just probability—and the highest-edge picks are reserved for Dimers Pro users to give them the best chance at winning.

A'ja Wilson over 11.5 total rebounds (+100)

  • Probability: 58.6%
  • Projection: 13.0
  • Edge: 8.6%

Our model has found a strong WNBA prop for Friday's Aces vs. Mercury matchup, zeroing in on Las Vegas' A'ja Wilson. With a 58.6% chance of hitting, we suggest betting on A'ja Wilson over 11.5 total rebounds at +100 odds, offering an edge of 8.6%.

 

Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 total rebounds (+100)

  • Probability: 58.2%
  • Projection: 10.9
  • Edge: 8.2%

Our model has discovered another high-probability prop for today's WNBA action, with Phoenix' Alyssa Thomas in our sights in the Aces-Mercury game. We recommend betting on Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 total rebounds at +100 odds, backed by a 58.2% chance of hitting and an 8.2% edge.

 

Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 total assists (+120)

  • Probability: 57.5%
  • Projection: 10.8
  • Edge: 12.0%

According to our analysis, another strong prop for today's WNBA action focuses on Alyssa Thomas again in the Aces vs. Mercury game. The recommended bet is Alyssa Thomas over 9.5 total assists at 120 odds, with a 57.5% chance of hitting and a 12.0% edge.

 

WNBA Finals player prop picks: Friday, October 10, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top three props by probability according to our model as of 7:57PM ET:

Matchup Prop Odds Probability Edge
Aces vs. Mercury A'ja Wilson Over 11.5 Total Rebounds +100 @ DraftKings 58.6% 8.6%
Aces vs. Mercury Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Total Rebounds +100 @ DraftKings 58.2% 8.2%
Aces vs. Mercury Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Total Assists +120 @ BetMGM 57.5% 12.0%

Get unlimited access to our full set of prop picks by signing up for Dimers Pro.

Friday's WNBA props are highlighted by a play with an edge of 12% on the best available odds—the kind of high-value bet you won't find by chasing probability alone.

Dimers Pro users have access to 13 WNBA player props at the time of writing, all backed by real betting value.

More about WNBA

The prop bets on this page are part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.

Stay up-to-date with the latest WNBA news, data-driven WNBA predictions and WNBA title odds.

Conclusion

For October 10, 2025, our WNBA Finals prop bets are locked and loaded, featuring players like A'ja Wilson, Alyssa Thomas and Jackie Young. Backed by advanced simulations, these picks are here to give your betting strategy the edge it needs.

With the help of AI and automation, this article delivers today's WNBA prop bets and insights quickly and accurately, while human oversight ensures high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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