Sporting KC vs. Portland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Sporting KC vs. Portland at the MLS on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Sporting KC
0
6
May 10, 2:30AM Providence Park
Portland
May 10, 2:30AM Providence Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PortlandPOR
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
K. Velde (6')
Soccer ball icon
K. Kelsy (15')
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C. Bassett (22')
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J. Davis (o.g.) (26')
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A. Lassiter (71')
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K. Kelsy (74')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
POR
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
76'
Yellow Card
Capita (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces Capita
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Kelsy
0-6
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Calheira replaces D. Joveljic
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by A. Lassiter
0-5
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: A. Aravena replaces D. Da Costa
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces J. Fory
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Ortiz replaces C. Bassett
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: A. Lassiter replaces Antony
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong replaces L. Johnsen
53'
Yellow Card
E. Bartlow (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: C. Harris replaces M. Garcia
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: I. James replaces S. Suleymanov
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: D. Chara replaces J. Caicedo
45'
Yellow Card
J. Reid (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
J. Davis (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
J. Caicedo (Portland Timbers) cautioned
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by J. Davis (o.g.)
0-4
22'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by C. Bassett
0-3
19'
Yellow Card
L. Johnsen (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Kelsy
0-2
6'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Velde
0-1

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Sporting KC vs. Portland: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Portland prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. Portland
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Providence Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC +475, Portland -200, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-300/+240)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 17.7%
  • Portland: 63.6%
  • Draw: 18.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sporting KC 1-2 Portland, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Sporting KC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.7% probability, while Portland sits at 63.6%, with the draw at 18.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Portland prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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