San Diego FC vs. Seattle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Diego FC vs. Seattle at the MLS on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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San Diego FC
1
:
1
May 10, 2:30AM Lumen Field
Seattle
May 10, 2:30AM Lumen Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SeattleSEA
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
D. Musovski (80')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ingvartsen (18')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
SD
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: K. Sargeant replaces L. Bombino
86'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Alvarado Jr replaces D. Vazquez
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by D. Musovski, assisted by C. Roldan
1-1
78'
Yellow Card
O. Verhoeven (San Diego FC) cautioned
75'
Yellow Card
A. Mighten (San Diego FC) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Mighten replaces A. Pellegrino
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: A. Lopez replaces Nouhou
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: D. Musovski replaces S. Brunell
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. Kingston replaces K. Kossa-Rienzi
57'
Yellow Card
C. Roldan (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
56'
Yellow Card
S. Brunell (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
51'
Yellow Card
J. Ferreira (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Ingvartsen, assisted by O. Valakari
1-0

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San Diego FC vs. Seattle: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. Seattle prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. Seattle
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Lumen Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +430, Seattle -170, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 17.1%
  • Seattle: 62.2%
  • Draw: 20.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Diego FC 0-2 Seattle, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.1% probability, while Seattle sits at 62.2%, with the draw at 20.6%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. Seattle prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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