Sky vs. Sun prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [6/22/2026]

WNBA action continues on Monday at 7:00 PM ET as the Chicago Sky lock horns with the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Sky as the most likely winner of the Sky vs. Sun game.

The Sun, with star players such as Brittney Griner, Leila Lacan and Saniya Rivers, will face off against the Sky, featuring Sydney Taylor, Skylar Diggins-Smith and Kamilla Cardoso.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sky vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's WNBA game between the Sky and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Sky a 59.9% chance of defeating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+3.5) have a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 61.1% chance of staying under,.

Sky vs. Sun odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sky	Sun
Spread	-3.5 (-106)	+3.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-162	+136
Total	o169.5 (-104)	u169.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sky vs. Sun picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sun +3.5	-110
Moneyline	Sky	-162
Total	Under 169.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 169.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sky vs. Sun player props

Betting on Sky vs. Sun WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Sydney Taylor is expected to lead the Sky with 20 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists, while Brittney Griner is projected to have 12 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Sydney Taylor as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sky prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Sydney Taylor	20	2	2	2	31
S. Diggins-Smith	17	3	6	2	35
Kamilla Cardoso	15	8	3	0	34
Azura Stevens	12	7	2	2	30
Natasha Cloud	10	4	5	1	26

Sun prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Brittney Griner	12	5	2	0	26
Leila Lacan	12	2	4	1	28
Saniya Rivers	9	3	3	1	22
Kennedy Burke	9	3	1	1	19
Aneesah Morrow	9	8	1	1	24

Sky vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details

Monday's matchup between the Sun and Sky at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Sky, with a 59.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Monday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.