John Deere Classic golf parlay at TPC Deere Run featuring Rickie Fowler
Let's use the Dimers Head-to-Head Golf Predictor to build a three-leg parlay at +600 odds for the John Deere Classic this weekend.

The race towards the FedExCup Playoffs is on as the PGA TOUR heads to the 2026 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, teeing off on July 2, 2026, with our latest golf predictions identifying who is most likely to win in Silvis, IL this weekend.
Alongside our projections for every golfer to win and finish Top 5, Top 10 or Top 20, we also have a head-to-head matchup predictor tool for betting on tournament matchups in both single-round and full tournament markets.
We've simplified betting on this market with Dimers' in-house H2H Predictor that pits any two golfers directly against each other and projects who will finish higher, based on your selection for Round 1 or across the full 72 holes for every tournament on the PGA TOUR.
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John Deere Classic parlay picks at +600 odds
To make this parlay, we'll enter both selected golfers into our H2H Predictor, select the Tournament-long option, and see which golfer gets the advantage for the weekend. If you see the shorter odds on the favored golfer, you've found an edge.
With a handy "Fair Odds" to "Percentages" toggle, you can always check to see if there's additional outright value in any given matchup, and with a Dimers Pro subscription, you can simulate unlimited matchups for every tournament.
MORE: Best bets to win the 2026 John Deere Classic
All three of these golfers land in our Top 10 most likely to win the tournament, but we just need each of them to beat their counterpart.
Leg 1: Ben Griffin to beat Chris Gotterup (-120)
We'll start off with our model's favorite to win the tournament, Ben Griffin, to beat the second-most likely player to win the tournament, Chris Gotterup.
Griffin gets a 7.4% probability to win outright to Gotterup's 6.1%, but to beat him head-to-head, he's at 50.6% along with a 4.8% probability of a tie.
Gotterup picked up two wins this year, way back in the season opener at the Sony Open and a few weeks later in Phoenix, managing two Top 20s since the Masters. Griffin, on the other hand, is trending in the other direction, turning around a start that saw him get profressively worse each tournament heading into three-straight cuts, to now bagging four Top 10s in his past seven events, including two third place finishes.
Everything is lining up for Griffin at the right time and a big performance would put him in a great spot for this fall's FedExCup run.
Leg 2: Eric Cole to beat Michael Thorbjornsen (-110)
Landing fifth in this week's outright winner predictions, Eric Cole is a Dimers model favorite right now.
He was signaled as a misprice to win the Travelers last week at 105/1, and while he didn't come through, he captured First Round Leader honors and was in contention through Saturday. This week, he's at 3.3% to win with a nice little Dimers edge, but is also one of the most likely players to win his matchup, period.
At 56.9% to win with a 4.6% chance of a tie, Cole is a bargain at -110 over Michael Thorbjornsen - without factoring in the tie, he would be fair odds at -132.
Cole is playing some of the best golf of his life with four Top 10s in his past seven events, while Thorbjornsen has not done so since the Phoenix Open in February, picking up three Top 20s in that span.
The Dimers model points to the hot hand once again this weekend.
Leg 3: Rickie Fowler to beat Jordan Spieth (+100)
Our final leg is the lowest probability of the three, but also one that identifies a matchup in which the wrong golfer is favored per our model.
It's been a year of extremes for Rickie Fowler who opened the season with three consecutive Top 20 finishes, picked up four Top 10s, three of which he bagged in a row, but also saw five missed cuts.
He snapped a recent streak of three cuts in a row with a T38 at the Travelers and is projected to get back to his ways, landing as our ninth-most likely winner of the John Deere Classic.
Jordan Spieth has simply not been able to tap into his ceiling this year. While he has only two missed cuts and seven Top 20s, he hasn't finished inside the Top 10 once, landing just outside at T11 and T12 four total times, and his last three events have gone Cut, T56, T66.
Despite that, the sportsbooks have Spieth favored in this matchup at -120, while Fowler is the favorite per the Dimers model at 48.9%, with the chance of a tie getting us to 54.2% for a win or push.
+600 John Deere Classic parlay picks
To round up our parlay, we have these three matchups below, with our selected golfer predicted to win over the course of 72 holes, at odds of +600 on FanDuel Sportsbook:
| Tournament Matchup | Win + tie % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Griffin to beat Chris Gotterup | 55.4% | -120 |
| Eric Cole to beat Michael Thorbjornsen | 61.6% | -110 |
| Rickie Fowler to beat Jordan Spieth | 54.2% | +100 |
Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2026 PGA TOUR
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