Sparks vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's WNBA game [7/13/2026]
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream predictions for WNBA Monday.
The Atlanta Dream and Los Angeles Sparks will lock horns in the WNBA at Gateway Center Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Dream game.
The Dream, with stars like Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Sparks, who feature Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Rae Burrell.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dream a 77.3% chance of defeating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+10.5) have a 58.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 181.5-point over/under has a 70.3% chance of staying under,.
Sparks vs. Dream odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Dream |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 (-117) | -10.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +320 | -344 |
| Total | o181.5 (-102) | u181.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Dream picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks +10.5 | novig-117 |
| Moneyline | Dream | novig-344 |
| Total | Under 181.5 | novig-102 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Dream player props
Betting on Sparks vs. Dream WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gateway Center Arena.
Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 17 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Nneka Ogwumike striking first with a 13.8% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 33 |
| Rae Burrell | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Ariel Atkins | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Erica Wheeler | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 21 |
Dream prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 22 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 39 |
| Rhyne Howard | 21 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 41 |
| Angel Reese | 16 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 45 |
| Jordin Canada | 14 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 36 |
| Brionna Jones | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
Sparks vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Dream and Sparks at Gateway Center Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream
- Date: Monday, July 13, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with a 77.3% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
