Twins vs. Red Sox prediction: Boston favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/24/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox predictions for MLB Sunday.

Minnesota Twins-Boston Red Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox MLB prediction for Sunday, May 24, 2026.

The Boston Red Sox will face the Minnesota Twins in MLB action at Fenway Park on Sunday, starting at 1:35 PM ET.

Sonny Gray (5-1, 2.92 ERA) will get the ball for the Red Sox, pitting him against Bailey Ober (5-2, 3.63 ERA) for the Twins.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner of the Twins vs. Red Sox game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Twins vs. Red Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Twins and Red Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 61% chance of defeating the Twins.

According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 58% chance of going over.

 

Twins vs. Red Sox odds [5/24/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Twins Red Sox
Run Line +1.5 (-162) -1.5 (+135)
Moneyline +146 -174
Total o7 (-114) u7 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Twins vs. Red Sox picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Red Sox -1.5 +135
Moneyline Red Sox -174
Total Over 7 -114

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Twins vs. Red Sox game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Twins at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 1:35 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Sunday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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