Home run predictions for Sunday include Shohei Ohtani, Jo Adell [6/21/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for June 21, 2026, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, June 21, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for June 21, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +558.

Player (Team) HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 27.1%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 21.5%
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) 20.5%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 20.4%
Jo Adell (Angels) 19.6%
Max Muncy (Dodgers) 19.4%
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 19.0%
Brandon Lowe (Pirates) 18.7%
Yordan Alvarez (Astros) 18.7%
Ryan Ward (Dodgers) 18.4%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.1% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (21.5%) and Kyle Tucker (20.5%).

Nick Kurtz and Jo Adell are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Shohei Ohtani 2026.
Shohei Ohtani appears in our home run predictions on Sunday, June 21, 2026.

Sunday's home run picks [6/21/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +558 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.3% edge.

With Brandon Young on the mound for the Orioles, the data supports Tucker as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

 

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

 

Conclusion

For June 21, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Kyle Tucker projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Tucker in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.3% edge at +558 odds.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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