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Read Article Pirates vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Pittsburgh Pirates vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Toronto Blue Jays will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Sunday, beginning at 12:15 PM ET.
The Blue Jays will have Dylan Cease (3-2, 2.98 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Pirates will counter with Mitch Keller (4-2, 3.86 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Blue Jays as the most likely winner of the Pirates vs. Blue Jays game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Pirates vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 62% chance of beating the Pirates.
According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Pirates vs. Blue Jays odds [5/24/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pirates | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-146) | -1.5 (+128) |
| Moneyline | +146 | -174 |
| Total | o7.5 (-110) | u7.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pirates vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Blue Jays -1.5 | +128 |
| Moneyline | Blue Jays | -174 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pirates vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Blue Jays and Pirates at Rogers Centre is scheduled to begin at 12:15 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
- Time: 12:15 PM ET/9:15AM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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