Storm vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 17 points in Sunday's WNBA matchup [5/17/2026]

The Indiana Fever will face the Seattle Storm in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, beginning at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Fever game.

The Fever, with the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Monique Billings, are set to take on the Storm, featuring Flau'jae Johnson, Natisha Hiedeman and Stefanie Dolson.

Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 17 points and 3 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Storm vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Storm and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Fever an 85% chance of defeating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+11.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 177.5-point over/under has a 62% chance of staying under.

Storm vs. Fever odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Storm	Fever
Spread	+11.5 (-104)	-11.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+490	-600
Total	o177.5 (-110)	u177.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Fever picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm +11.5	-104
Moneyline	Fever	-600
Total	Under 177.5	-110

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 177.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Storm vs. Fever player props

WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Storm vs. Fever matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Flau'jae Johnson is expected to lead the Storm with 12 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 21 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Storm prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
F. Johnson	12	4	2	1	25
N. Hiedeman	11	2	3	1	23
Stefanie Dolson	8	4	2	1	20
Jade Melbourne	7	2	3	1	17
Lexie Brown	6	2	2	1	15

Fever prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	21	2	3	3	33
Caitlin Clark	17	6	8	3	45
M. Billings	11	7	1	0	27
M. Hines-Allen	8	6	3	0	25
S. Cunningham	8	4	1	2	17

Storm vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Fever and Storm at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever
• Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.