Tempo vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's WNBA game [6/22/2026]

The Atlanta Dream will face the Toronto Tempo in WNBA action at State Farm Arena on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Tempo vs. Dream game.

The Dream, who have stars such as Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Tempo, featuring Marina Mabrey, Isabelle Harrison and Laura Juskaite.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Tempo vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's WNBA game between the Tempo and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dream an 85.0% chance of defeating the Tempo.

According to our model, the Tempo (+14.5) have a 63.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 178.5-point over/under has a 61.5% chance of staying under,.

Tempo vs. Dream odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Tempo	Dream
Spread	+14.5 (-108)	-14.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+750	-1200
Total	o178.5 (-110)	u178.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tempo vs. Dream picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Tempo +14.5	-108
Moneyline	Tempo	+750
Total	Under 178.5	-108

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tempo +14.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tempo vs. Dream player props

Betting on Toronto vs. Atlanta WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Marina Mabrey is expected to lead the Tempo with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 17 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Marina Mabrey striking first with a 16.5% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Tempo prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Marina Mabrey	16	4	4	2	31
I. Harrison	11	6	2	0	25
Laura Juskaite	10	4	2	1	23
Maria Conde	9	4	2	2	19
Temi Fagbenle	8	5	2	0	21

Dream prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	17	6	3	2	34
Rhyne Howard	17	5	4	3	38
Angel Reese	15	13	3	0	42
Jordin Canada	11	4	7	1	33
Naz Hillmon	10	7	2	2	25

Tempo vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Dream and Tempo at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with an 85.0% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Monday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.