May 25, 2026
Fire vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Monday's WNBA game [5/25/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, May 25, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/25.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, May 25, 2026—are live with the Knicks' Brittney Griner projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Griner, Breanna Stewart and Carla Leite lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 25, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 15.7% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.5% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 12.3% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 11.9% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 11.5% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 11.1% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 10.8% |
| Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) | 10.6% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 10.6% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 10.4% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.0% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 9.5% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 9.3% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 9.0% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 8.5% |
| Nyadiew Puoch (Fire) | 8.1% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder (Fire) | 7.6% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 7.3% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 6.7% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 6.7% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 25, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Engstler | Fire | 2.4% | +1000 | 11.5% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 1.7% | +1000 | 10.8% |
| Tiffany Hayes | Valkyries | 1.5% | +1000 | 10.6% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder | Fire | 0.9% | +1400 | 7.6% |
| Nyadiew Puoch | Fire | 0.4% | +1200 | 8.1% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/25.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, May 25, 2026, Brittney Griner, Breanna Stewart and Carla Leite lead our first basket projections, while Emily Engstler shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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