May 25, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, May 25, 2026
Read Article Sun vs. Valkyries prediction: Golden State favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [5/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Connecticut Sun vs Golden State Valkyries predictions for WNBA Monday.
The Golden State Valkyries and Connecticut Sun will lock horns in the WNBA at Chase Center on Monday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Valkyries as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Valkyries game.
The Valkyries, with stars like Veronica Burton, Tiffany Hayes and Kayla Thornton, are set to take on the Sun, featuring Kennedy Burke, Raegan Beers and Aneesah Morrow.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sun vs. Valkyries prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's WNBA game between the Sun and Valkyries, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Valkyries an 81% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+13.5) have a 65% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 159.5 points has a 61% chance of going over.
Sun vs. Valkyries odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Valkyries |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +13.5 (-110) | -13.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +590 | -800 |
| Total | o159.5 (-110) | u159.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Valkyries picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +13.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sun | +590 |
| Total | Over 159.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sun +13.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sun vs. Valkyries player props
Betting on Connecticut vs. Golden State WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Kennedy Burke is expected to lead the Sun with 8 points, 3 rebounds and 1 assists, while Veronica Burton is projected to have 13 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Valkyries.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sun prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Burke | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
| Raegan Beers | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
Valkyries prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Kayla Thornton | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
| Gabby Williams | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Janelle Salaun | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
Sun vs. Valkyries game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Valkyries and Sun at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries
- Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Valkyries, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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