May 24, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, May 24, 2026
Read Article Wings vs. Liberty prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 18 points in Sunday's WNBA game [5/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The New York Liberty and Dallas Wings will lock horns in the WNBA at Barclays Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 3:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Liberty game.
The Liberty, who have the likes of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Satou Sabally, are set to take on the Wings, who feature Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard.
Bueckers, the young phenom making headlines with the Wings, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 18 points and 1 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Liberty a 77% chance of defeating the Wings.
According to our model, the Liberty (-6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 179.5-point over/under has a 67% chance of staying under.
Wings vs. Liberty odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-114) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +200 | -240 |
| Total | o179.5 (-108) | u179.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Liberty picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Liberty -6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Liberty | -240 |
| Total | Under 179.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 179.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Liberty player props
Betting on Wings vs. Liberty WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 21 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 18 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 35 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
| Jessica Shepard | 10 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 31 |
| Azzi Fudd | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Maddy Siegrist | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
Liberty prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 44 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Satou Sabally | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Jonquel Jones | 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Pauline Astier | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
Wings vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Liberty and Wings at Barclays Center is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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