Jun 26, 2026
World Cup player props today: Friday's group stage props include Trezeguet [6/26/2026]
Read Article World Cup soccer odds today: Friday's betting cheat sheet [June 26]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo
Complete World Cup 2026 odds and betting guide for today's matches, featuring Matchday 3 contests from Groups I, H, and G, on Friday, June 26 to determine who qualifies for the Round of 32.
Matchday 3 of the soccer World Cup 2026 continues today with six more matches on the schedule, and this betting odds preview is designed to help you navigate Friday's matches using Dimers' data-driven World Cup predictions on June 26.
Kicking things off are the Group I matches between France and Norway and Iraq and Senegal at 3pm, then it's Group H between Cabo Verde and Saudi Arabia and Uruguay and Spain at 8pm, before the Group G nightshift matches between Iran and Egypt and Belgium and New Zealand at 11pm.
Thanks to DraftKings Sportsbook, we've broken down each of Friday's matchups below in our World Cup betting preview, with everything you need to know about the teams, the players, the probabilities, the most likely score lines, as well as the sharpest player props for Friday's six World Cup fixtures.
Today's World Cup 2026 odds - June 26
Dimers' World Cup 2026 odds refer to the forecasts and statistical projections made by our team of data scientists regarding the outcomes of not only the six matches on Friday, June 26, but also the ultimate winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. These predictions for the 2026 World Cup are generated by highly sophisticated machine learning models that analyze historical odds, data sets, player-specific performance metrics, and team-level compositions that delivered some outstanding betting results in Matchday 1.
Norway vs. France odds
Kickoff: June 26, 3:00pm (ET)
The final round of matches for Group I brings an explosive battle for the top spot. Both France and Norway have cruised through their opening rounds with flawless records, sitting tied at 6 points each. With qualification safely in hand, this Matchday 3 clash is entirely about managing their journey.
Winning the group secures the top seed and a highly favorable Round of 32 matchup against a third-place qualifier. Finishing second, however, comes with an immediate blow: a demanding Round of 32 clash against Group E runners-up Ivory Coast.
The metrics place the French as the front-runner to lock up the group, though Norway’s high-flying attack keeps the margins tight. Let's look at the moneyline figures, total goals lines, and top exact scores across the sportsbook landscape.
Group I standings & scenario analysis
France (6 pts, GD +5): Currently leads the group via goal differential. A win or a draw secures Mbappe's La Bleus the top seed and an easier path in the next round.
Norway (6 pts, GD +4): Sits a hair behind in second. To leapfrog the French and avoid a tough knockout collision with Ivory Coast, Erling Haaland and company must secure a straight victory.
Moneyline odds: Norway vs. France?
DraftKings Sportsbook leans toward the French side on the standard full-time result market, though the high draw percentage reflects a tight tactical battle between these two dominant teams:
Total goals odds (Over/Under 3.5)
Despite both nations displaying highly potent attacks on the first two matchdays, the model strongly expects a tighter, more deliberate pace for this tournament finale, leaning toward the under on an elevated line:
Top 5 exact scoreline predictions
The correct score distribution underscores a tight, competitive matchup, too, where a single goal could easily decide the group crown:
- France 2-1: 9.9%
- Draw 1-1: 9.4%
- France 2-0: 9.0%
- France 1-0: 8.5%
- France 3-1: 6.9%
Summary: France enters the Group I finale with a 60.5% moneyline probability. Because a draw is completely sufficient for France to win the group and a 1-1 deadlock or a close 2-1 result dominate the highest individual probabilities, looking at alternative combinations makes a lot of sense. Pairing France or Draw on the Double Chance market with an alt line of Over 1.5 total match goals builds a highly practical option, directly capturing the top multi-goal scripts suggested by the data.
Senegal vs. Iraq odds
Kickoff: June 26, 3:00pm (ET)
Running parallel to the high-stakes France vs. Norway showdown at the top of Group I, the final matchday presents a completely different narrative for Senegal and Iraq. Both teams sit on 0 points after dropping their first two fixtures. While Iraq's heavy -6 goal differential leaves them facing near-impossible odds, Senegal still possesses a viable path to survival.
Under this tournament's 48-team framework, a decisive victory could see the Lions of Teranga snatch one of the 8 coveted third-place wild card slots to advance to the Round of 32. The metrics strongly back the African side to handle business in this must-win group finale.
Group I standings & top-spot scenarios
Senegal (0 pts, GD -3): A victory is non-negotiable. Reaching 3 points with an improved goal differential would put them in direct wild card contention against third-place finishers from other groups. Any dropped points mean immediate elimination.
Iraq (0 pts, GD -6): Backed completely into a corner. To have even a mathematical sliver of hope for a third-place ticket, Iraq must chase an incredibly heavy multi-goal victory to reverse their negative differential.
Moneyline odds: Who will win Senegal vs. Iraq?
The straight-up winner market heavily favors Senegal to claim all three points. On the standard full-time result board, the consensus price anchors them as a commanding front-runner:
Total goals odds (Over/Under 2.5)
Because Senegal must aggressively hunt for goals to clean up their -3 differential and Iraq has shown significant structural vulnerabilities at the back, the algorithm leans heavily toward an open, high-scoring script:
Top 5 exact scoreline predictions
The exact scoreline distribution reflects a clear expectation of a multi-goal victory for the favorites, with clean-sheet patterns dominating the highest individual probabilities:
- Senegal 2-0: 12.7%
- Senegal 1-0: 10.6%
- Senegal 3-0: 10.2%
- Senegal 2-1: 9.2%
- 1-1 Draw: 7.6%
Summary: Senegal enters this do-or-die finale as a heavy 74.7% favorite. Because their straight moneyline price offers little return on its own, looking at combination markets is the smartest approach. Given the model's strong 60.4% backing of Over 2.5 total goals and Senegal's urgent need to run up the score for goal differential purposes, pairing a Senegal victory with Over 2.5 total match goals or backing Senegal to win to nil aligns perfectly with the data.
World Cup previews: Group H and Group G
To preview the remaining four Group F and Group D matches scheduled for Friday, June 26, head over to their respective match pages:
- Saudi Arabia vs. Cabo Verde (8pm)
- Spain vs. Uruguay (8pm)
- Iran vs. Egypt (11pm)
- Belgium vs. New Zealand (11pm)
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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