Sky vs. Lynx prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [5/17/2026]

The Minnesota Lynx will square off with the Chicago Sky in WNBA action at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Sky vs. Lynx game.

The Lynx, who have stars like Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Olivia Miles, will face off against the Sky, featuring Rickea Jackson, Kamilla Cardoso and Gabriela Jaquez.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sky vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA game between the Sky and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lynx a 64% chance of beating the Sky.

According to our model, the Sky (+5.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 166.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Sky vs. Lynx odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sky	Lynx
Spread	+5.5 (-110)	-5.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+200	-230
Total	o166.5 (-110)	u166.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sky vs. Lynx picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sky +5.5	-110
Moneyline	Sky	+200
Total	Under 166.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sky +5.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sky vs. Lynx player props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Chicago vs. Minnesota matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Rickea Jackson is expected to lead the Sky with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Kayla McBride is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Lynx.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sky prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Rickea Jackson	16	4	2	2	28
Kamilla Cardoso	12	6	2	0	26
Gabriela Jaquez	10	4	1	1	20
Natasha Cloud	10	3	5	1	25
Jacy Sheldon	8	2	3	1	18

Lynx prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kayla McBride	17	3	3	3	31
C. Williams	17	5	7	2	40
Olivia Miles	16	5	5	2	35
Natasha Howard	14	8	3	0	36
Nia Coffey	11	7	3	2	32

Sky vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Lynx and Sky at Target Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx
• Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.